2025 NFL Draft Prop Bets

Kevin gives out his favorite NFL draft bets.

The NFL Draft is finally here, and while the mock drafts and big boards have dominated the conversation, it's time to turn our attention to where the real value lies—the prop bets. The first round offers a ton of opportunity for bettors to cash in on market inefficiencies, insider buzz, and late risers (or fallers) on draft boards. Whether it’s predicting who goes top five, the number of players from a certain position taken, or calling that surprise first-round selection, the books are giving us plenty to work with.

Below are my favorite first-round prop bets—the ones I’m most confident in heading into Thursday night. Let’s take advantage of the chaos and try to make some money while we enjoy the show.

CB Jahdae Barron (Texas): Under 18.5 (-115)

There are just too many teams that need corner help early in this draft. Barron is one of the more polished and versatile defensive backs in the class, and there’s real steam behind him going in the top half of the first. I’ve seen rumors of the Jets considering him as high as pick No. 7. And with the recent noise around Will Johnson’s medicals, there’s a real chance Barron ends up as CB2 off the board behind Travis Hunter. He checks a lot of boxes—scheme versatility, physicality, SEC production—and that kind of profile doesn’t last long on draft night.

S Malaki Starks (Georgia): Over 23.5 (-175)

Let’s be honest—Starks might not even be a top-two safety in this class. He’s a solid prospect, but this class is deep on defense, and the premium positions are going to push safeties down the board. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Nick Emmanwori get picked ahead of him. Both Starks and Emmanwori are SEC-tested, but there’s not a clear separation between them, and that uncertainty combined with the value at edge and DT this year makes me lean the over here. There’s just no reason to believe a team is going to pull the trigger inside the top 23.

OT Armand Membou (Missouri): Over 6.5 (-280)

Membou is a solid tackle prospect, but the question is whether teams truly view him as a left tackle. He played exclusively on the right side at Mizzou, and while there’s some projection in his game, that uncertainty might keep him from going inside the top six. The Patriots have been a popular landing spot at No. 4, but if they pass—and they might—he could slide a bit. I still like him as a top 12 lock, but top-six feels rich unless a team is absolutely sold on his ability to play on the blindside.

DT Mason Graham (Michigan): Over 5.5 (-200)

A lot of mocks have Graham landing with Jacksonville at No. 5, but I’m not buying it. There’s buzz that the Jags are one of the true wildcards in the first round, and there’s some steam that new HC Liam Coen could push for a playmaker like Tetairoa McMillan instead. You also have Ashton Jeanty in the mix for offensive help, and if the board falls a certain way, I think Graham could slip just outside the top five. He’s a monster on the interior, no doubt, but teams picking that high usually lean toward more explosive, game-changing pieces unless the DT is a generational guy—and I’m not sure Graham fits that billing for teams.

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